“Global Risks Weekly Roundup #14/2025: Chinese military exercises, French 2027 election front-runner banned, stock 1e63e

Executive summary China carried out more aggressive live-fire military exercises around Taiwan. The US relocated missile batteries from the Pacific into the Middle East, raising some concerns that it was leaving the Pacific region vulnerable. Le Pen, the frontrunner for the 2027 French elections, was barred from running in those elections after being found guilty of embezzlement. Global stock markets have been falling sharply since Trump announced new tariffs on April 2; these new tariffs are larger than those imposed by the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act in 1930. Crude oil prices have been falling as well, in another sign of economic weakening. Sentinel forecasters estimate that there is a 63% chance of a global recession this year. Meta started releasing distilled models from their Llama [...] --- Outline: (01:15) Global Economy (04:09) Geopolitics (04:11) US (07:44) Europe (09:03) Middle East (10:48) Asia (11:49) Africa (12:20) Biorisk (12:37) Artificial Intelligence --- First published: April 7th, 2025 Source: https://blog.sentinel-team.org/p/global-risks-weekly-roundup-142025 --- Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO. --- Images from the article: 82b3w