“Global Risks Weekly Roundup #15/2025: Tariff yoyo, OpenAI slashing safety testing, Iran nuclear programme negotia 2n352e

14/04/2025

Executive summary The Trump istration backtracked from his tariff plan, reducing tariffs...

Executive summary
The Trump istration backtracked from his tariff plan, reducing tariffs from most countries to 10%, but imposing tariffs of 145% on China, which answered with 125% tariffs on US imports and export controls on rare earth metals.
The US saw protests against Trump and DOGE, and the US Supreme court ruled that the istration must facilitate the return of an immigrant wrongly deported to El Salvador.
OpenAI is slashing the amount of safety testing they will do of their new AI models, from months down to days, and Google launched a new AI chip for inference.
Negotiations between the US and Iran on its nuclear program are starting, reducing our estimated probability of a US strike to 15%.
The number of US [...]
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Outline:
(00:23) Executive summary
(01:22) Economy
(04:26) Tech and AI
(05:57) Geopolitics
(05:59) Middle East
(06:02) Iran
(08:09) Gaza
(08:26) Yemen
(08:59) Africa
(09:20) Americas
(13:10) Asia
(14:33) Europe
(16:10) Biorisk
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First published:
April 14th, 2025
Source:
https://blog.sentinel-team.org/p/global-risks-weekly-roundup-152025
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